如何抓住机遇:利用人工智能为您的业务增值

普华永道 · 2017-08-03

摘要:<p> 根据普华永道的最新研究,在当今经济飞速发展的背景下,人工智能创造出最大商机。 </p>


<p> 在《抓住机遇》报告中,普华永道详细分析了人工智能的商业影响,概述了最能从中受益的经济体。至2030年,人工智能将为世界经济贡献15.7万亿美元,这个数字超过中国与印度这两国目前的经济总量之和。深入分析2016-2030年人工智能将带来的各经济增长数据会发现,多于50%的增长将归功于劳动生产力的提升,其他则主要来自于人工智能激发的消费需求的增长。从地域分布来看,中国(2030 年 GDP 将增长 26%)和北美(GDP 增长 14.5%)有望成为人工智能最大受益者,总获益相当于10.7万亿美元,占据全球增长比例的近70%。 </p> <p> <br /> </p> <ul> <li> 在人工智能发展初期,由于技术成熟度较高,且大批工作均可为发达技术替代完成,因此彼时北美的生产力增长速度将高于中国。 </li> <li> 然而十年之后,中国完成了相对缓慢的技术和专业知识积累,则将开始赶超美国。 </li> <li> 欧洲与亚洲一些发达国家也将受益于人工智能,实现经济大幅增长(2030 年 GDP 增长9-12%不等)。 </li> <li> 发展中国家(包括拉美和非洲)由于人工智能技术的采用率预期较低,因此人工智能将会促使他们的经济适度发展(GDP 增长低于 6%)。 </li> </ul> <p> <br /> </p> <p> 在此份报告中,普华永道还推出了“人工智能影响指数”这一概念,由于人工智能将提高生产力和产品价值,并推动消费增长,因而零售业、金融服务和医疗保健将是最大受益行业。至2030年,随着人工智能驱动消费大幅上升,产品性能得到更好完善,消费需求与行为随之转变,这将促使GDP增长9万亿美元。 </p> <p> 此份分析报告还强调,为了发挥出最大潜能,人工智能创造的巨大商机需要强有力的管理和新的运营模式来巩固。人们需要在人工智能的设计和应用初期即介入,实行有效控制,以确保实现人工智能的积极潜能,同时应预警各方利益相关者,如超出合理控制范围运行将会引发的可能后果。我们应当以负责任的方式来设计和部署相关技术。我们需要优先考虑的是信任和透明度,而非商业模式、投资目标和绩效提升方法,这样才能帮助人们理解人工智能的效用,使其正确的为我们所用。 </p> <p> <img src="http://www.199it.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/%E5%A6%82%E4%BD%95%E6%8A%93%E4%BD%8F%E6%9C%BA%E9%81%87%EF%BC%9A%E5%88%A9%E7%94%A8%E4%BA%BA%E5%B7%A5%E6%99%BA%E8%83%BD%E4%B8%BA%E6%82%A8%E7%9A%84%E4%B8%9A%E5%8A%A1%E5%A2%9E%E5%80%BC_000001.png" alt="" /> </p> <p> <img src="http://www.199it.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/%E5%A6%82%E4%BD%95%E6%8A%93%E4%BD%8F%E6%9C%BA%E9%81%87%EF%BC%9A%E5%88%A9%E7%94%A8%E4%BA%BA%E5%B7%A5%E6%99%BA%E8%83%BD%E4%B8%BA%E6%82%A8%E7%9A%84%E4%B8%9A%E5%8A%A1%E5%A2%9E%E5%80%BC_000002.png" alt="" /> </p> <p> <img src="http://www.199it.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/%E5%A6%82%E4%BD%95%E6%8A%93%E4%BD%8F%E6%9C%BA%E9%81%87%EF%BC%9A%E5%88%A9%E7%94%A8%E4%BA%BA%E5%B7%A5%E6%99%BA%E8%83%BD%E4%B8%BA%E6%82%A8%E7%9A%84%E4%B8%9A%E5%8A%A1%E5%A2%9E%E5%80%BC_000003.png" alt="" /> </p> <p> <img 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src="http://www.199it.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/%E5%A6%82%E4%BD%95%E6%8A%93%E4%BD%8F%E6%9C%BA%E9%81%87%EF%BC%9A%E5%88%A9%E7%94%A8%E4%BA%BA%E5%B7%A5%E6%99%BA%E8%83%BD%E4%B8%BA%E6%82%A8%E7%9A%84%E4%B8%9A%E5%8A%A1%E5%A2%9E%E5%80%BC_000028.png" alt="" /> </p> <hr /> <div style="text-align:right;"> 文章来源:199it </div>

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